Chapter 1 · the atlas
Every U.S. fossil plant rated 100 MW+ whose last unit retires between 2024 and 2030 — recent enough that the site's transmission tie, gas tap, and on-site equipment may still be reusable (though transfer rules vary by RTO and utility). Scored on four dimensions: distance to high-voltage transmission, distance to interstate gas, site size, and recent capacity factor.
Plants that retired before 2024 aren't on the map below — on-site equipment and interconnection arrangements generally don't survive 5+ years of dormancy, making reuse less likely. But they prove the trend is durable. Across …, … U.S. fossil plants ≥ 100 MW retired, totalling …. Their median distance to a ≥230 kV substation was … and to an interstate pipeline … — the same site characteristics the prospect set below relies on.
Stacked bars: total retiring nameplate MW per year, split by fuel. Data: EIA-860 generator-level retirement dates.